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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3674020601001201401601867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +20
2Coral scored#5
7Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
7Total teleop27
Reef
0L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
18Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8622
#19
13.40.4
13.813.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 15.8
29.20.0
28.728.7
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
4541
#14
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
blue by 5.3
5115
#12
18.20.0
17.717.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Third
5549
#23
8.20.4
8.68.2
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 8.1
611
#28
16.30.0
15.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3