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Red116
482127.1
463816.3
11612.9
Blue71
872620.4
686316.5
171916.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71725060809010011011671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+13Teleop
+25Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
57Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +45
20Foul points0
116Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4821
#11
27.10.6
26.427.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 6.7
20.40.1
20.420.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Second
4638
#13
16.30.6
15.716.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 0.4
1719
#24
16.70.1
16.716.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
116
#16
12.90.6
12.212.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 3.6
6863
#33
16.50.1
16.416.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3