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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11867501001507879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points9
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +29
6Coral scored#15
20Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
78Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.6
49.849.2
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 13.4
36.80.2
35.535.7
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
Second
44.20.6
43.743.1
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 15.8
686
#10
28.30.2
27.027.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
Third
8326
#34
11.00.6
10.39.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
red by 2.7
2377
#35
8.30.2
7.07.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2