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Red113
172740.5
111114.0
88838.1
Blue75
62036.9
583011.4
141827.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9884406012014016018011375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
78Total teleop29
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
113Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.5
39.039.4
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
red by 3.6
620
#5
36.90.1
38.037.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
888
#4
38.10.4
36.737.1
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
red by 10.5
27.60.1
28.828.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
Third
1111
#29
14.00.4
12.613.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 2.7
5830
#25
11.40.1
12.512.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6