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Red149
162950.3
832611.0
907244.2
Blue71
482127.1
463816.3
11612.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12859010015020014971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +49
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
96Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#3
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +78
12Foul points0
149Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.4
49.249.6
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 23.2
4821
#11
27.10.1
27.027.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
44.20.4
43.143.5
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 27.8
4638
#13
16.30.1
16.316.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
8326
#34
11.00.4
9.710.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
blue by 1.9
116
#16
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4