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Red118
777021.2
558713.6
210651.2
Blue65
788616.5
1067922.2
40424.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136805010015011865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
82Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
118Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.1
44.145.2
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
red by 26.5
404
#14
24.70.6
21.921.2
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Second
7770
#17
21.21.1
13.814.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
blue by 1.1
22.28.0
24.716.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
5587
#13
13.61.8
26.127.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 2.9
16.50.6
13.813.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed