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Red35
371412.2
33919.6
242121.8
Blue35
253717.8
862216.3
111121.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713802060801001201403535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +3
2Coral scored#4
7Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
11Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
14Foul points12
35Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#20
21.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
red by 0.7
1111
#10
21.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
339
#18
19.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
red by 1.8
2537
#23
17.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
3714
#22DQ
12.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 4.0
8622
#16
16.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed