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Red128
40424.7
253717.8
44959.0
Blue93
940321.7
242121.8
219934.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148320406010014016012893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+47Teleop
+37Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
20Coral scored#13
72Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
106Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#3
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points2
128Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.01.3
55.356.7
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 24.4
34.50.7
25.926.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
Second
404
#14
24.71.3
20.822.1
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 2.9
2421
#20
21.80.7
23.624.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
2537
#23
17.81.3
14.716.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 3.9
9403
#21
21.70.7
20.020.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned