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Red61
970913.4
88846.0
62322.0
Blue59
1067922.2
862216.3
237711.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99310501506159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points12
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
30Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
10Foul points24
61Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
46.02.0
39.437.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
red by 23.7
22.20.1
16.716.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Second
623
#28
22.03.3
24.120.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
red by 5.8
8622
#16
16.30.1
13.413.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
9709
#27
13.42.0
17.215.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 2.3
2377
#24
11.20.1
5.85.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed