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Red40
181121.7
44649.6
1067922.2
Blue68
62322.0
374836.3
210651.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381180501001504068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
10Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
26Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
40Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.1
16.616.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 28.9
51.21.8
45.443.7
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
Second
1811
#11
21.70.0
13.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
blue by 14.6
36.33.0
28.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Third
4464
#26
9.60.1
10.710.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 12.4
623
#28
22.03.0
20.817.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned