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Red26
940321.7
33919.6
777021.2
Blue100
237711.2
44959.0
88846.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57117010015026100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+76
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +73
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points38
0Processor algae#4
0Net algae#5
0Processor points24
0Net points20
0Algae points44
9Total teleop82
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
26Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9403
#21
21.73.4
20.717.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 37.3
449
#1
59.00.0
56.756.7
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
Second
7770
#17
21.22.0
15.113.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
blue by 24.8
888
#4
46.00.0
37.437.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
Third
339
#18
19.62.0
20.818.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
red by 8.4
2377
#24
11.20.0
5.85.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed