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Red31
237711.2
940321.7
1067922.2
Blue129
44959.0
111121.1
181121.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3596020608012014031129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+76
Endgame+80
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#15
15Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
25Total teleop81
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points18
31Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.0
16.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 36.7
449
#1
59.02.0
56.758.6
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
Second
9403
#21
21.71.0
17.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Level
1811
#11
21.72.0
13.215.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
2377
#24
11.20.6
5.85.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 10.0
1111
#10
21.12.0
11.813.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned