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Red135
219934.5
210651.2
188526.0
Blue72
242121.8
40424.7
454123.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12181406010014016018013572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
24Coral scored#9
85Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
101Total teleop52
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#2
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
135Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.6
43.745.3
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
red by 26.5
404
#14
24.70.6
22.121.5
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Second
34.52.7
26.629.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
red by 11.5
4541
#15
23.00.6
17.016.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Third
26.02.7
21.424.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 4.2
2421
#20
21.81.0
24.323.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed