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Red134
210651.2
454123.0
219934.5
Blue68
44649.6
188526.0
242121.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11055010015013468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
71Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#3
8L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
12Foul points6
134Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.2
44.545.8
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
red by 25.1
26.00.7
23.823.1
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Second
34.52.0
29.231.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
red by 12.7
2421
#20
21.80.7
22.421.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
4541
#15
23.01.2
17.919.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
red by 13.4
4464
#26
9.60.7
8.07.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed