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Red111
777021.2
40424.7
379320.0
Blue85
62322.0
253717.8
940321.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70672040608010012011185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
97Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
111Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
#14
24.71.8
20.622.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 2.7
623
#28
22.00.5
17.217.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
Second
7770
#17
21.21.8
13.915.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
blue by 0.5
9403
#21
21.70.5
17.918.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
3793
#12
20.03.0
16.819.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 2.1
2537
#23
17.80.3
16.316.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed