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Red35
862216.3
970913.4
371412.2
Blue101
374836.3
88846.0
558713.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319702040608012014016035101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+58
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#10
11Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
17Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
6Foul points6
35Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8622
#16
16.30.7
13.212.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 29.7
888
#4
46.00.8
39.540.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
Second
9709
#27
13.40.7
13.913.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 22.8
36.31.4
29.030.4
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Third
3714
#22
12.21.1
12.211.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 1.3
5587
#13
13.61.4
14.315.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned