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Red145
44959.0
1022427.1
188526.0
Blue88
172743.8
242121.8
181121.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126815010015020014588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+63Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points42
6Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
36Processor points6
20Net points8
56Algae points14
108Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
145Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.01.4
57.658.9
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 15.1
43.80.1
42.442.4
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
27.11.4
26.527.9
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 5.3
2421
#20
21.80.1
21.721.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
26.02.3
23.125.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
1811
#11
21.70.1
15.915.8
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned