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Red37
454123.0
237711.2
44649.6
Blue60
33919.6
111121.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345802040801001203760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
22Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points2
37Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#15
23.00.4
19.119.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
red by 1.9
1111
#10
21.10.7
13.714.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
2377
#24
11.20.4
4.85.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 8.4
339
#18
19.60.7
19.219.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
Third
4464
#26
9.60.6
7.38.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 1.3
8.31.2
14.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed