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Red78
970913.4
1067922.2
219934.5
Blue95
210651.2
788616.5
379320.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7299204060801201401601807895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
56Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
78Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.1
31.332.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
blue by 16.6
51.20.4
45.846.2
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
Second
22.21.1
17.919.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 2.3
3793
#12
20.00.7
19.820.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Third
9709
#27
13.40.6
13.213.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 3.0
16.50.4
14.915.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed