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Red128
242121.8
374836.3
44959.0
Blue109
88846.0
1022427.1
777021.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269250100150200128109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
91Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
128Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.00.7
58.959.7
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 13.0
888
#4
46.01.1
40.341.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
Second
36.31.2
30.431.5
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
red by 9.2
27.11.1
27.929.0
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Third
2421
#20
21.81.2
21.622.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
red by 0.7
7770
#17
21.21.1
15.716.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed