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Qual 352025 CHS District Severn MD Event presented by Ball Corp
Red116
111121.1
371412.2
172743.8
Blue109
62322.0
40424.7
181121.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8574204060100120140160116109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+7
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#21
70Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
88Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
116Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#3
43.81.3
42.4→43.7
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 19.1
404
#14
24.71.3
22.4→23.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Second
1111
#10
21.11.3
14.4→15.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 0.9
623
#28
22.02.1
17.8→19.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
Third
3714
#22
12.22.2
11.0→13.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 9.4
1811
#11
21.71.3
15.8→17.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed