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Red46
188526.0
558713.6
Blue124
940321.7
788616.5
210651.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6497020408012014016046124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+56
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +48
6Coral scored#16
20Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
28Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
6Foul points12
46Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.5
25.422.9
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
blue by 25.1
51.21.5
46.247.7
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
Second
5587
#13
13.62.5
15.713.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 8.1
9403
#21
21.72.4
18.520.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
8.32.5
15.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 8.1
16.51.5
15.316.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned