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Red63
970913.4
379320.0
44649.6
Blue97
237711.2
242121.8
40424.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637820401001201406397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
47Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points6
63Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3793
#12
20.00.0
20.420.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 4.7
404
#14
24.70.6
23.724.3
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Second
9709
#27
13.40.0
13.813.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
blue by 8.4
2421
#20
21.81.0
22.823.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
4464
#26
9.60.0
8.07.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 1.6
2377
#24
11.20.6
5.25.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed