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Red110
371412.2
44959.0
1022427.1
Blue91
454123.0
62322.0
1067922.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121665010015020011091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points52
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
12Processor points18
24Net points8
36Algae points26
75Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
110Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.00.6
59.759.1
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 35.9
4541
#15
23.01.1
21.222.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Second
27.10.6
29.028.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 4.8
22.21.6
21.723.3
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
3714
#22
12.20.9
13.212.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 9.8
623
#28
22.01.6
19.921.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed