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Red102
379320.0
219934.5
181121.7
Blue62
44649.6
172743.8
940321.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628505010015010262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
55Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
30Foul points0
102Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.1
26.527.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
blue by 9.3
43.81.1
40.539.5
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
1811
#11
21.70.7
14.815.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Level
9403
#21
21.71.6
21.620.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
3793
#12
20.01.1
17.518.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
red by 10.4
4464
#26
9.61.6
14.112.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned