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Red89
454123.0
788616.5
88846.0
Blue84
374836.3
253717.8
970913.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765202040601001201408984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
67Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
89Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
46.01.3
38.139.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
red by 9.7
36.33.1
22.325.3
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Second
4541
#15
23.01.3
12.914.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
red by 5.2
2537
#23
17.81.8
12.914.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
16.51.3
13.214.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 3.0
9709
#27
13.41.8
15.417.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned