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Red100
40424.7
111121.1
1022427.1
Blue98
210651.2
777021.2
242121.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77112406010012014016018010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
50Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
36Foul points0
100Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
24.624.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
blue by 24.1
51.20.2
45.245.4
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
Second
404
#14
24.70.5
21.220.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 2.9
2421
#20
21.80.4
23.223.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
1111
#10
21.10.5
14.013.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
blue by 0.1
7770
#17
21.20.2
14.915.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned