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Red82
379320.0
374836.3
862216.3
Blue80
181121.7
777021.2
454123.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83680501001508280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+12
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
53Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
82Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.0
33.834.8
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
red by 13.3
4541
#15
23.01.3
22.423.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Second
3793
#12
20.01.0
20.421.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 1.7
1811
#11
21.71.3
19.320.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
8622
#16
16.30.8
16.317.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 4.9
7770
#17
21.21.3
18.319.6
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed