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Red32
253717.8
242121.8
Blue49
940321.7
188526.0
970913.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60790501001503249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
8Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points4
32Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#20
21.82.4
23.821.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 4.2
26.01.6
25.023.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Second
2537
#23
17.81.7
16.214.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 3.9
9403
#21
21.71.6
23.922.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
8.32.1
11.49.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 5.1
9709
#27
13.41.2
13.812.6
Auto2.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed