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Red94
62322.0
219934.5
40424.7
Blue98
33919.6
172743.8
788616.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112111951001051151209498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
69Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
94Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.2
34.233.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
blue by 9.3
43.80.5
43.042.6
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
404
#14
24.71.0
26.425.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 5.1
339
#18
19.60.5
20.119.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
Third
623
#28
22.01.2
21.520.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
red by 5.6
16.50.5
17.717.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned