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Red90
242121.8
862216.3
88846.0
Blue34
44649.6
454123.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974401509034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+58Teleop
+60Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
61Total teleop14
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points4
90Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
46.00.6
44.244.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
red by 23.0
4541
#15
23.00.9
23.722.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
Second
2421
#20
21.80.7
22.523.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
red by 12.2
4464
#26
9.61.0
10.69.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Third
8622
#16
16.30.6
14.715.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8
red by 7.9
8.31.0
9.38.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed