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Red45
237711.2
33919.6
379320.0
Blue78
1022427.1
181121.7
558713.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5774020401001201404578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
18Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +34
5Coral scored#10
19Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
23Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points4
45Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3793
#12
20.00.3
18.418.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 7.1
27.10.2
27.727.9
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Second
339
#18
19.60.3
19.719.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
blue by 2.1
1811
#11
21.70.2
21.521.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
Third
2377
#24
11.20.3
11.311.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 2.4
5587
#13
13.60.2
13.113.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed