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Red130
44959.0
379320.0
210651.2
Blue115
172743.8
62322.0
88846.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512080100160180200130115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
66Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +15
18Foul points0
130Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#1
59.00.4
58.958.5
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End1.2
red by 13.0
888
#4
46.00.2
44.444.6
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
Second
51.20.4
51.150.7
Auto12.5
Teleop31.9
End6.8
red by 7.4
43.80.2
42.242.4
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Third
3793
#12
20.00.4
19.919.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.5
End1.0
blue by 2.1
623
#28
22.00.2
20.520.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3