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Red58
40424.7
1022427.1
940321.7
Blue104
219934.5
862216.3
111121.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10091608012014058104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
44Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points8
58Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.4
27.427.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
blue by 7.4
34.50.6
34.334.8
Auto6.9
Teleop22.6
End5.0
Second
404
#14
24.70.4
25.124.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
red by 3.6
1111
#10
21.10.6
20.921.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
9403
#21
21.70.4
22.121.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 5.4
8622
#16
16.30.6
16.016.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.6
End1.8