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Red101
172743.8
62322.0
88846.0
Blue23
242121.8
788616.5
777021.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1366705010015020010123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
62Total teleop12
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#4
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
101Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
46.00.2
44.844.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.8
End3.0
red by 24.1
2421
#20
21.81.0
23.222.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Second
43.80.2
42.742.5
Auto6.7
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 22.6
7770
#17
21.20.9
22.421.5
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
Third
623
#28
22.00.2
20.920.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.5
End1.3
red by 5.6
16.50.9
17.716.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7