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Red95
188526.0
237711.2
454123.0
Blue75
33919.6
558713.6
374836.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66770501001502002503003509575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
73Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
95Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.6
25.826.4
Auto5.5
Teleop19.0
End1.5
blue by 10.2
36.30.1
36.136.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Second
4541
#15
23.00.6
22.823.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.6
End1.3
red by 3.4
339
#18
19.60.1
19.419.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
Third
2377
#24
11.20.6
11.011.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 2.4
5587
#13
13.60.1
13.313.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6