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Red68
253717.8
1067922.2
181121.7
Blue74
40424.7
1022427.1
940321.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821032040601201401601806874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
49Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
68Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.1
22.122.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 4.8
27.10.1
27.227.1
Auto4.9
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Second
1811
#11
21.70.1
21.621.7
Auto4.7
Teleop16.3
End0.6
blue by 3.0
404
#14
24.70.1
24.824.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End0.7
Third
2537
#23
17.80.1
17.717.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 3.9
9403
#21
21.70.1
21.821.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.8
End2.2