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Red49
242121.8
788616.5
777021.2
Blue92
33919.6
558713.6
374836.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66790501001502004992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
31Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points8
49Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#20
21.80.4
22.221.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 14.5
36.30.3
36.136.4
Auto5.3
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Second
7770
#17
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End1.1
red by 1.6
339
#18
19.60.3
19.419.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End0.4
Third
16.50.3
16.816.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 2.9
5587
#13
13.60.3
13.413.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6