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Red93
16634.6
172923.3
13146.8
Blue92
264835.5
615324.3
5845.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94917580851001051109392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
70Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
93Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.81.1
35.436.5
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 1.5
58
#8
45.30.7
28.629.4
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
166
#7
34.61.1
24.625.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
blue by 0.9
2648
#19
35.50.7
28.329.1
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
Third
1729
#23
23.31.1
20.921.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 1.0
6153
#15
24.30.7
23.324.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed