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Red117
12632.5
19061.7
107115.5
Blue52
542225.1
802318.0
776012.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10449015011752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+61Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
88Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
117Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
61.72.0
42.844.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 36.6
5422
#10
25.10.7
18.818.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
126
#11
32.52.0
26.628.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
red by 14.5
8023
#24
18.00.7
14.714.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Third
1071
#21
15.52.0
21.223.2
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 3.2
7760
#30
12.30.7
16.415.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed