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Red94
616115.6
973213.3
9545.3
Blue53
905611.3
23816.8
6124.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794602040601001201409453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
46Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
94Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.32.2
34.036.2
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
red by 20.8
61
#16
24.60.8
23.724.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
Second
6161
#20
15.62.2
16.518.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
blue by 1.2
238
#25
16.80.8
9.610.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Third
9732
#17
13.32.2
17.319.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
red by 2.0
9056
#28
11.30.8
12.813.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned