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Red109
46741.1
447324.6
17223.7
Blue84
359720.5
568738.8
456424.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977505015010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
78Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
109Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#3
41.11.5
35.536.9
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 2.3
5687
#14
38.80.9
18.819.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
4473
#12
24.61.5
23.024.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
red by 0.6
4564
#29
24.00.9
26.827.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
Third
172
#18
23.71.5
25.326.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
red by 3.2
3597
#27
20.50.9
25.025.9
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed