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Red48
669119.6
12632.5
802318.0
Blue135
16634.6
5845.3
331436.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510020408012014048135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+65
Endgame+77
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +58
7Coral scored#18
25Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
35Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#5
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points10
48Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#11
32.52.7
28.625.9
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
blue by 12.9
58
#8
45.32.9
29.432.3
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
19.62.7
18.515.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 16.8
36.42.9
32.935.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
Third
8023
#24
18.02.7
14.011.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
blue by 16.6
166
#7
34.62.7
25.728.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned