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Red126
973213.3
417616.6
19061.7
Blue83
13146.8
264835.5
905512.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009640608012014016012683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points1
30Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
82Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
126Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
61.74.4
44.749.1
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 14.9
131
#4
46.80.7
36.535.8
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
4176
#13
16.64.4
22.526.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 18.9
2648
#19
35.50.7
29.128.4
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
Third
9732
#17
13.34.4
19.623.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
red by 1.4
9055
#26
12.00.7
17.416.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed