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Red83
615324.3
46741.1
542225.1
Blue61
172923.3
23816.8
404119.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965402040801201401608361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
58Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
83Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#3
41.10.2
36.936.7
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 17.8
1729
#23
23.30.1
21.922.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Second
5422
#10
25.10.2
18.117.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 5.7
4041
#22
19.50.1
18.718.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
Third
6153
#15
24.30.2
24.023.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
red by 7.5
238
#25
16.80.1
10.310.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned