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Red58
447324.6
776012.3
456424.0
Blue82
9545.3
568738.8
6124.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768940601001201405882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
46Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
58Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#12
24.61.8
24.422.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
blue by 20.7
95
#6
45.30.2
36.236.4
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Second
4564
#29
24.01.8
27.725.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
blue by 14.7
5687
#14
38.80.2
19.719.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Third
7760
#30
12.31.8
15.714.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 12.3
61
#16
24.60.2
24.524.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned