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Qual 212025 NE District Southern Maine Event
Red99
12632.5
802318.0
264835.5
Blue100
669119.6
13146.8
5845.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73972040608012014099100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
18Foul points0
99Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#19
35.51.1
28.4→29.5
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
blue by 11.3
131
#4
46.81.1
35.8→36.9
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
126
#11
32.51.1
25.9→27.0
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
blue by 12.9
58
#8
45.31.1
32.3→33.4
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Third
8023
#24
18.01.1
11.3→12.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
blue by 1.7
6691
#5
19.61.1
15.8→16.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned