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Red55
905512.0
172923.3
23816.8
Blue66
17223.7
107115.5
404119.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567620401001205566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
32Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
55Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#23
23.30.6
22.021.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 0.4
172
#18
23.70.5
23.122.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Second
238
#25
16.80.6
10.59.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 2.6
4041
#22
19.50.5
18.818.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
Third
9055
#26
12.00.7
16.716.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1071
#21
15.50.5
19.519.0
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned