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Red76
6124.6
447324.6
359720.5
Blue44
46741.1
417616.6
973213.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779940601201401607644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
53Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
76Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#12
24.60.4
22.722.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
blue by 16.5
467
#3
41.15.7
36.731.0
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
Second
61
#16
24.60.4
24.724.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
red by 7.9
4176
#13
16.65.7
26.921.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Third
3597
#27
20.50.4
23.523.1
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
red by 7.2
9732
#17
13.35.7
23.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned