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Red192
568738.8
632972.0
331436.4
Blue144
616115.6
16634.6
19061.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124101406080140160180192144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +38
26Coral scored#19
93Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
129Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#8
12L3#9
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
192Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.08.5
54.663.1
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 10.3
190
#2
61.74.9
49.154.0
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
Second
5687
#14
38.88.0
19.927.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 4.2
166
#7
34.64.6
28.432.9
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
36.48.5
35.844.3
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
red by 20.8
6161
#20
15.65.3
16.421.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned